Investment Strategy & Research
March 18, 2025
Assessing the U.S. Equity Market Correction
Markets have experienced a 10% correction. What are the causes and how should investors react?
Executive Summary
- Drawdowns of 10%+ are relatively common, occurring on average every 1-2 years amid shifting expectations and risks.
- Market weakness appears localized to the U.S., with international equities providing a diversification benefit.
- The decline appears tied to uncertainty among businesses and consumers amid recent dramatic policy shifts.
- Economic growth expectations for the first half of 2025 have been revised lower, but recession is not the base case.
- The uncertainty-driven correction provides an opportunity to rebalance to long-term policies, adding to equities at lower prices.